Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 3.942521 4.547277 5.210455 5.991225 6.884885 7.875430 9.056316
2025-01-19 2.927486 3.677532 4.568956 5.704947 7.112680 8.798526 10.969615
2025-01-26 2.464734 3.334146 4.441853 5.953091 7.957699 10.521980 14.048117
2025-02-02 2.181149 3.151122 4.465490 6.369963 9.051910 12.686506 17.978691
2025-02-09 1.877827 2.880308 4.316880 6.515031 9.782102 14.445310 21.592244
2025-02-16 1.623382 2.630460 4.149338 6.591832 10.404381 16.107728 25.262829
2025-02-23 1.366282 2.330342 3.855350 6.423705 10.619039 17.173306 28.152983
2025-03-02 1.135234 2.031880 3.515127 6.123565 10.568853 17.799671 30.402159
2025-03-09 1.006190 1.882660 3.393378 6.157633 11.054662 19.319039 34.251792
2025-03-16 0.869192 1.697132 3.181534 6.002637 11.188604 20.252579 37.200634
2025-03-23 0.822520 1.669508 3.243374 6.339147 12.223530 22.838424 43.308178
2025-03-30 0.769969 1.622121 3.260814 6.591898 13.128886 25.281377 49.413805
2025-04-06 0.692287 1.516438 3.159118 6.614910 13.625738 27.073138 54.601930
2025-04-13 0.588071 1.340034 2.894137 6.278829 13.379029 27.432553 57.093753
2025-04-20 0.553671 1.307803 2.918545 6.538542 14.365750 30.304091 64.881846
2025-04-27 0.537955 1.314612 3.025846 6.987308 15.800337 34.230699 75.260117
2025-05-04 0.499768 1.263721 3.000279 7.141410 16.620238 36.977025 83.475410
2025-05-11 0.460421 1.203831 2.946021 7.222689 17.287203 39.468120 91.414716
2025-05-18 0.408400 1.104443 2.786483 7.037480 17.323980 40.588912 96.452508
2025-05-25 0.354670 0.991852 2.579305 6.708732 16.980097 40.812653 99.466833
2025-06-01 0.327200 0.943863 2.524055 6.745469 17.515253 43.098606 107.501800
2025-06-08 0.292373 0.870334 2.394140 6.575875 17.520748 44.142706 112.702231
2025-06-15 0.285809 0.874840 2.467487 6.943297 18.925252 48.684048 126.871745